ASEAN Core Quietly Converging on China October 23, 2024
The South China Sea disputes pitting China against rival Southeast Asian states have entered a perilous new phase as China and the Philippines tilt toward direct armed confrontation over a growing number of contested maritime features....
Military Challenges to China’s Claims Are Increasing October 22, 2024
Deployments of ships and aircraft to challenge China’s illegal claims in the South China Sea are increasing. European ships are appearing more often, while Asia-Pacific countries are increasingly conducting activities in areas that China regards as s...
Southeast Asia Must Act Collectively in the South China Sea October 21, 2024
The core of a coalition to oppose China in the South China Sea must be the Southeast Asian claimants themselves. They must recognise that the threat they jointly face requires them to settle or at least to shelve internecine maritime disputes. Vietna...
China Isn’t Giving up on the South China Sea October 16, 2024
Once upon a time, China went out of its way to allay anxieties roused by its power and ambition. Then it stopped. Its new charm offensive would prove likewise perishable, to be scrapped once the party felt at liberty to resume its campaign for sovere...
Vietnam Imitating China’s Island-Making October 10, 2024
Satellite imagery shows Vietnam rapidly expanding reclaimed land in contested sea but China’s response has been muted ...
Taiwan Needs To Start Taking Its Defense Seriously October 08, 2024
It is no secret that China would like to get out of the first island chain into which it has been hemmed in for decades, or arguably even longer. They have long claimed much of the South China Sea, which includes territory claimed by multiple other s...
Wars Are Not Accidents October 08, 2024
Israel’s assassination of a top Hamas leader in Tehran in July, Ukraine’s incursion over the summer into Russia, and a recent series of increasingly assertive Chinese air and maritime interceptions in the South China Sea have fanned fears that long-s...
Tit-For-Tat Wargames in the South China Sea January 06, 2024
US-Philippine drills countered by Chinese show of force and heated rhetoric as contested sea flashpoint looks to get hotter in 2024 ...
U.S.-China: Managing Competition Without Conflict January 04, 2024
From 2018 to 2023, U.S.-China relations were in a linear downward spiral. The trade war, the pandemic, growing technology competition, rising tensions in the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait, and contrasting approaches to the Russia-Ukraine conf...
South China Sea Hot Enough to Bubble Over January 02, 2024
South China Sea disputes pitting China against Southeast Asian claimants are fast shaping to become the region’s major flashpoint of 2024. In its final act as the outgoing chairman of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), Indonesia corr...