As Assad Teeters, Hezbollah Gets Nervous

By Greg Scoblete
July 26, 2012

As Assad Teeters, Hezbollah Gets Nervous

Laure Stephan reports that Hezbollah is standing by Bashar Assad, come what may:

'Hezbollah fears the collapse of the Syrian regime, described by Nasrallah as â??more than a bridgeâ? in a reference to the countryâ??s role in the transit of Iranian arms. Losing an ally like that would weaken the Shiâ??a party in the event of a conflict with Israel because Hezbollahâ??s arms supplies would be cut off. Nasrallah however espouses a publicly confident stance, and has promised the Israelis some â??surprisesâ? if they attack Lebanon.

Nasrallah also stated that military strategy was more important than anything else for the party insofar as its relations with Syria go. It is no longer a question of defending â??the oppressedâ? as it has been maintaining in its political charters and by siding with the Egyptians, Libyans, Bahrainis and Yemenis since the beginning of the Arab Spring. Holding on to its weapons, upholding the "axis of resistance" -- Iran, Syria, Hezbollah â?? against Israel has become top priority.

But the price to be paid for Nasrallahâ??s refusal to condemn the Syrian regimeâ??s repression â?? which he prefers to refer to as â??violent actsâ? committed by both sides â?? is very high: nothing less than his degree of popularity in the Arab world. Syrian activists are now portraying Nasrallah on social media sites as a paunchy little man whereas before he was held in high esteem in Syria because of his anti-Israel stance.

'

What's interesting is that we could very well have a situation develop where Hezbollah and al-Qaeda come into direct conflict. We already have Sunni jihadists declaring war on Iran. It's not a stretch to imagine that al-Qaeda takes it upon itself to combat "Iranian influence" in the region by attacking its proxies if they gain another foothold in Syria.

(AP Photo)

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