James Holmes

Author Archive

  • Nov 19, 2024
    Latin America merits attention in its own right, but it also represents a southerly vector in the U.S. strategic competition against China.  
  • Nov 7, 2024
    As the U.S. Navy faces potential conflict with China in the Pacific, leaders must decide when to risk their valuable, hard-to-replace capital ships, such as Ford-class carriers, in...
  • Oct 16, 2024
    Once upon a time, China went out of its way to allay anxieties roused by its power and ambition. Then it stopped. Its new charm offensive would prove likewise perishable, to be...
  • Sep 18, 2024
    If the U.S. Navy is in a bad way—and it is, amidst travails such as collisions and other mishaps at sea, shipboard fires, shipbuilding debacles, and even photos of rusty ships...
  • Aug 26, 2024
    Strategic prudence—from nineteenth-century Europe and ancient China alike—urges Kiev to wind down the Kursk operation, and consolidate scarce manpower and resources to...
  • Jul 27, 2024
    Do Europeans support NATO? They certainly fret a lot about the future of the Atlantic Alliance. To hear them tell it, a return of Donald Trump to the White House next January would...
  • Jun 12, 2024
    Maritime statecraft is a process of wielding levers of state in a concerted way to fulfill national purposes relating to the sea. It’s an approach to doing things. This process...
  • Jun 7, 2024
    In short, China has deprived itself of options short of war. It may not want war, but years of overbearing diplomacy may compel it to go to war. It has little alternative.  
  • May 17, 2024
    The United States’ standing in the world hinges on alliances and fellowships of all types—chiefly in the rimlands and marginal seas ringing the Eurasian supercontinent....
  • May 9, 2024
    China’s Navy is increasingly footloose—including its aviation component. Backed by an impressive armory of shore-based weapons, the fleet need no longer be closely...
  • May 3, 2024
    Even if the United States has fallen into decline in absolute economic and military terms, China may have crested early and plunged into yet steeper decline. In that case, the margin...
  • Apr 9, 2024
    Warfare in the Pacific between the U.S. and China promises to be an all-service, all-domain, and allied endeavor. Waging it will demand the utmost not just from naval forces but from...
  • Feb 26, 2024
    Today marks the second anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and Western support for the defenders seems to be flagging. That’s because the land was—the most...
  • Feb 15, 2024
    Would you be deterred by an antagonist you believe to be incompetent, irresolute, or both? That question has become part of daily discourse about U.S. foreign policy, if seldom...
  • Jan 15, 2024
    Decisive results against the Houthis seem fanciful, barring an amphibious offensive, an unappealing if not unthinkable option for coalition magnates.   
  • Jan 2, 2024
    Taiwan has undergone a seismic demographic and political transformation in recent decades—a transformation that virtually precludes pacific unification between Taiwan and...