French voters, like those in other countries, are unlikely to make their choice based on policy towards the EU or NATO. They will not care much about Le Pen’s promises to ensure French sovereignty over various uninhabited Pacific atolls (which her manifesto name-checks). The risk to Macron is that his perceived haughtiness, combined with rising prices and falling living standards, prompt voters to turn against him, with Le Pen the most likely beneficiary. Europe, threatened from the East by Putin, may find itself convulsed from the West by his admirer, Le Pen. Other Western leaders can only hope that French voters find alternative ways to express their discontent, and re-elect Macron.
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