Three weeks into Russia’s brutal war in Ukraine, things are clearly not going as planned for the Kremlin. Except for Kherson and Melitopol, the Russian military has not captured any major Ukrainian cities. Russia’s advance into Kyiv has been slowed by logistical failures and resupply problems, and high numbers of casualties appear to be taking a toll on Russian troop morale. Russia’s air force, for its part, has failed to establish air supremacy over Ukraine, a shocking misstep that leaves Russian ground troops exposed to aerial attacks and complicates Russia’s ability to conduct aerial reconnaissance and bomb Ukrainian forces. Moscow is also clearly losing the global information war, as images of heroic Ukrainian resistance fighters and desperate Ukrainian refugees arouse pro-Ukraine sympathy around the world.
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