The two potential threats that the investigations could bring would be impeachment and/or a large decline in his popularity, leading to defeat in the 2022 presidential elections. As documented by polls, an overwhelming majority of Brazilians support the Congressional investigations and the inquiry has already affected Bolsonaro’s popularity, leading to him facing some of the worst approval ratings since he became president. However, it is hard to disassociate this from the impact of his catastrophic handling of the pandemic as Brazil recently surpassed 500,000 deaths from COVID-19, the second highest death toll for a country globally.
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