Since Boris's thumping general election win in December, I've lost count of the number of people – both Remainers and Leavers – who tell me that no deal just won't happen. Boris needs a deal, they insist, and the EU will bend a little here and there to give the Prime Minister a ladder to climbdown. Yet I've always been convinced that no deal is far and away the most likely outcome of the EU negotiations in 2020. Today's warning from the PM – in which he talks down the prospects of a deal – make me even more sure this is the case.
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