- There is a high chance that a migration crisis in 2020 results in a situation similar to the one that unfolded in 2015, with Greece again bearing most of the weight of the migration influx.
- But unlike five years ago, Germany will be more willing to protect the European Union's external border and less interested in accepting a large number of migrants.
- Turkey will also be more willing to weaponize the country's landmark migrant agreement with the European Union to secure additional diplomatic and financial help from the bloc.
